{"id":745,"date":"2017-03-30T21:28:09","date_gmt":"2017-03-30T19:28:09","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/lai.co.za\/?p=745"},"modified":"2018-03-20T16:05:11","modified_gmt":"2018-03-20T14:05:11","slug":"20172018-%e5%8d%97%e9%9d%9e%e8%b2%a1%e6%94%bf%e9%a0%90%e7%ae%97%e8%88%87%e6%82%a8%ef%bc%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/?p=745","title":{"rendered":"2017\/2018 \u5357\u975e\u8ca1\u653f\u9810\u7b97\u8207\u60a8\uff01"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"font-size: 14pt; color: #993366;\"><strong>\u8cf4\u6703\u8a08\u5e2b\u8207\u5357\u975e\u570b\u7a05\u5c40\u7e3d\u5c40\u9577Tom Moyane\u7a05\u52d9\u7814\u8a0e\u6703<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;\"><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u5728\u8207\u5357\u975e\u570b\u7a05\u5c40\u5c40\u9577\u7a05\u52d9\u7814\u8a0e\u6703\u4e2d\uff0c\u570b\u7a05\u5c40\u7e3d\u5c40\u9577Tom Moyane\u6578\u6b21\u63d0\u5230\u4e86\u5357\u975e\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u5e74\u7684\u7a05\u6536\u56f0\u96e3\u3002\u7e3d\u5c40\u9577\u5206\u6790\u4e86\u5357\u975e\u7a05\u6536\u9762\u81e8\u7684\u554f\u984c\u8207\u6311\u6230\u3002<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u4ed6\u5728\u7814\u8a0e\u6703\u63d0\u51fa\u7684\u653f\u7b56,\u4e5f\u8207\u4e0a\u500b\u6708\u516c\u4f48\u7684\u300a2017\/2018\u8ca1\u653f\u9810\u7b97\u300b\u5171\u540c\u5448\u73fe\u51fa\u672a\u4f86\u5357\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u7a05\u6536\u65b9\u5411\u4ee5\u53ca\u7b56\u7565\u3002<\/span><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><u>\u5357\u975e\u570b\u5bb6\u6536\u652f\u4e0d\u5e73\u8861<\/u><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u4e00\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u5c31\u5982\u540c\u4e00\u500b\u5927\u578b\u516c\u53f8\u9700\u8981\u4f9d\u9760\u6536\u5165\u4f86\u652f\u4ed8\u7dbf\u7dbf\u4e0d\u65b7\u7684\u958b\u92b7\u3002\u7576\u4e00\u500b\u8ca1\u653f\u5e74\u5ea6\u6536\u5165\u9ad8\u65bc\u652f\u51fa\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u5c31\u80fd\u5920\u6709\u6548\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u5728\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u3001\u6539\u5584\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u63d0\u9ad8\u793e\u6703\u798f\u5229\u3002\u9019\u4e9b\u653f\u5e9c\u652f\u51fa\u90fd\u6703\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u4ee5\u53ca\u793e\u6703\u5e36\u4f86\u9577\u9060\u7684\u597d\u8655\u3002\u53ef\u60dc\u5357\u975e\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6536\u652f\u4e00\u76f4\u5165\u4e0d\u6577\u51fa\uff01<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u9019\u500b\u5716\u8868\u986f\u793a\u76ee\u524d\u8ca1\u653f\u8d64\u5b57\u662f\u570b\u5bb6\u7e3dGDP\u76843.3%\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-752 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/south-africa-current-account-to-gdp.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"730\" height=\"340\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/south-africa-current-account-to-gdp.png 730w, https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/south-africa-current-account-to-gdp-300x140.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 730px) 100vw, 730px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>\u5357\u975e\u570b\u5bb6\u6536\u5165\u7684\u90e8\u5206<\/strong>\uff1a<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u53bb\u5e74\u7684\u653f\u5e9c\u7a05\u6536\u5f9e\u539f\u672c\u9810\u671f\u76849.8%\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u5be6\u969b\u7a05\u52d9\u5fb5\u6536\u6548\u679c\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u4e0b\u8abf\u5230\u4e867%\u3002\u9019\u662f\u5f9e2009\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u4e0b\u8abf\u5e45\u5ea6\u6700\u591a\u7684\u4e00\u5e74\u3002\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u8ca1\u653f\u7f3a\u53e3\u4e5f\u5f9e\u539f\u672c\u7684228\u5104\u589e\u52a0\u5230\u4e86304\u5104\u862d\u7279\u3002\u5176\u4e2dVAT\uff08\u71df\u696d\u7a05\uff09113\u5104\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u500b\u4eba\u6240\u5f97\u7a05\u7684152\u5104\u5143\u70ba\u7a05\u52d9\u5fb5\u6536\u56b4\u91cd\u6f0f\u6d1e\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong>\u5357\u975e\u570b\u5bb6\u652f\u51fa\u7684\u90e8\u5206\uff1a<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u5357\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u81ea 2009 \u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u4e00\u76f4\u4f9d\u9760\u767c\u884c\u570b\u50b5\u4f86\u5f4c\u88dc\u9810\u7b97\u77ed\u7f3a\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u9069\u9022\u570b\u969b\u9593\u4e5f\u9084\u672a\u5f9e2008\u5e74\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u5d29\u76e4\u56f0\u5883\u4e2d\u722c\u51fa\u4f86\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u66f4\u52a0\u963b\u7919\u4e86\u5357\u975e\u5f4c\u88dc\u9f90\u5927\u7684\u8d64\u5b57\u9810\u7b97\u7684\u9032\u5ea6\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u76ee\u524d\u5357\u975e\u570b\u50b5\u5360\u570b\u5167\u751f\u7522\u6bdb\u984d\uff08GDP\uff09\u662f\u4f86\u5230\u4e8650.1%\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u9ad8\u9ede\u3002\u52a0\u4e0a\u5357\u975e\u5728\u4e16\u754c\u8a55\u6bd4\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u4fe1\u7528\u8a55\u6bd4\u4e5f\u4e00\u76f4\u662f\u300c\u8ca0\u9762\u300d\u7684\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5357\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u6bcf\u5e74\u8981\u652f\u4ed8\u66f4\u52a0\u6c89\u91cd\u7684\u5229\u606f\u652f\u51fa\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-747 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Debt-to-GDP-chart.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"721\" height=\"330\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Debt-to-GDP-chart.jpg 721w, https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Debt-to-GDP-chart-300x137.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 721px) 100vw, 721px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><u>\u5176\u4ed6\u4e3b\u8981\u5357\u975e\u7d93\u6fdf\u6578\u64da\uff1a<\/u><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u5357\u975e\u7d93\u6fdf\u57282016 \u5e74\u7684\u6700\u5f8c\u4e09\u500b\u6708\u589e\u95777%\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u8fb2\u696d\u7684\u5fa9\u7526\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u3001\u8cbf\u6613\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u3001 \u623f\u5730\u7522\u3001 \u5546\u696d\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u670d\u52d9\u7684\u589e\u9577\u62b5\u6d88\u4e86\u63a1\u7926\u696d\u3001 \u548c\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u7684\u6536\u7e2e\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u6700\u65b02017\u5e74\u5357\u975eGDP\u7684\u9810\u6e2c\u589e\u9577\u662f3%\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-750 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/GDP-Annual-Growth.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"710\" height=\"335\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/GDP-Annual-Growth.jpg 710w, https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/GDP-Annual-Growth-300x142.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 710px) 100vw, 710px\" \/><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u5831\u544a\u986f\u793a\uff0c\u5728120\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u88e1\uff0c\u5357\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u7a05\u6536\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c27%\uff0c\u6392\u884c\u7b2c\u56db\u540d\uff0c\u50c5\u6b21\u65bc\u632a\u5a01\u3001\u4e39\u9ea5\u4ee5\u53ca\u65b0\u897f\u862d\u3002\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u5e73\u5747\u503c14%\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u4e0d\u904e\u7531\u65bc\u5357\u975e\u6709\u63a5\u8fd1\u4e00\u534a\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u9700\u8981\u4f9d\u9760\u9818\u53d6\u793e\u6703\u798f\u5229\u91d1\uff0c\u90a3\u4e9b\u7a05\u52d9\u91d1\u5b57\u5854\u9802\u7aef5%\u7684\u7d0d\u7a05\u4eba\uff0c\u6240\u5f97\u5230\u7684\u793e\u6703\u4fdd\u969c\u76f8\u8f03\u65bc\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\u5fae\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u5357\u975e\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u6700\u70ba\u4eba\u8a6c\u75c5\u7684\u72af\u7f6a\u7387\u4e5f\u5728\u9010\u5e74\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u6700\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u6e90\u982d\u5c31\u662f\u793e\u6703\u9ad8\u5931\u696d\u7387\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u5931\u696d\u7387\u9084\u662f\u7dad\u6301\u572826%\u523027%\u7684\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u7576\u4e2d\uff0c\u9752\u5e74\u4eba\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\u9ad8\u90542%\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u9700\u8981\u5357\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u7dca\u6025\u9762\u5c0d\u7684\u95dc\u6ce8\u6307\u6578\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u53e6\u5916\uff0c\u503c\u5f97\u4e00\u63d0\u7684\u662f\u5357\u975e\u653f\u5e9c\u7684\u5b98\u54e1\u85aa\u6c34\uff0c\u5360GDP\u768414%\uff0c\u5728\u6240\u6709\u570b\u5bb6\u4e2d\u62d4\u5f97\u982d\u7c4c\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-753 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Unemployment-chart.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"752\" height=\"377\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Unemployment-chart.jpg 752w, https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Unemployment-chart-300x150.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 752px) 100vw, 752px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u5357\u975e\u51fa\u53e3\u6578\u64da\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u5e74\u862d\u7279\u7684\u6301\u7e8c\u8cb6\u503c\uff0c\u51fa\u53e3\u5546\u5728\u7576\u4e2d\u626e\u6f14\u8d77\u4e86\u975e\u5e38\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u63a8\u624b\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u4e2d\u570b\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u5404\u81ea\u5360\u4e86\u5357\u975e\u51fa\u53e3\u76849.2%\u4ee5\u53ca7.4%\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u51fa\u53e3\u9805\u76ee\u4e2d\u53c8\u4ee5\u5bf6\u77f3\u3001\u91cd\u91d1\u5c6c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6c7d\u8eca\u70ba\u4e3b\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-748 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Exports-Countries.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"753\" height=\"389\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Exports-Countries.png 753w, https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Exports-Countries-300x155.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 753px) 100vw, 753px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone wp-image-749 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Exports-Goods.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"755\" height=\"429\" srcset=\"https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Exports-Goods.png 755w, https:\/\/lai.co.za\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/03\/Exports-Goods-300x170.png 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 755px) 100vw, 755px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><span style=\"font-size: 10pt;\">Source: Trading Economics<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\"><strong><u>\u5357\u975e\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u8ca1\u52d9\u9810\u7b97\u6c92\u6709\u7bc0\u7a05\u4eae\u9ede<\/u><\/strong><strong><u>:<\/u><\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u9810\u7b97\u662f\u6709\u53f2\u4ee5\u4f86\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u91cd\u5927\u7bc0\u7a05\uff08\u6e1b\u7a05\uff09\u65b9\u6848\u3002\u55ae\u55ae\u770b\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u500b\u4eba\u6240\u5f97\u7a05\u514d\u7a05\u7684\u7a05\u91d1\uff0c\u53ea\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u4e00\u5e74135\u862d\u7279\uff0c\u5c31\u518d\u6b21\u986f\u793a\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u62ee\u636e\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u653f\u5e9c\u4eca\u5e74\u9084\u662f\u5fc5\u9808\u628a\u5357\u975e\u7684\u7a05\u6536\u5e0c\u671b\u653e\u5728\u5357\u975e\u9ad8\u6536\u5165\u7d0d\u7a05\u4eba\u8eab\u4e0a\u3002\u6240\u4ee5\u4eca\u5e74\u63a8\u51fa\u65b0\u7684\u500b\u4eba\u6240\u5f97\u7a05\u7a05\u91d1\u7a05\u7387\uff0c\u628a\u6240\u5f97\u8d85\u904e1\u4f7050\u842c\u862d\u7279\u7684\u6700\u9ad8\u7a05\u7387\u63a8\u9ad8\u5230\u4e8645%\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u4f30\u8a08\u7d04\u67094%\u7684\u7d0d\u7a05\u4eba\uff08\u7d0410\u842c3\u53433\u767e\u4eba\uff09\u6703\u9054\u5230\u9019\u500b\u65b0\u768445%\u7a05\u7387\uff0c\u4ed6\u5011\u5c07\u6703\u8ca2\u737b\u8654\u5357\u975e\u500b\u4eba\u6240\u5f97\u7a05\u7e3d\u7a05\u6536\u768426%\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<li><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u53e6\u4e00\u500b\u8a0e\u8ad6\u7684\u91cd\u9ede\u662f\uff0c\u6c7d\u6cb9\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u52a0\u4e0a14%\u7684VAT(\u71df\u696d\u7a05)\u3002\u9019\u500b\u8a0e\u8ad6\u5982\u679c\u901a\u904e\uff0c\u5c07\u6703\u5f71\u97ff\u5927\u773e\u904b\u8f38\u6210\u672c\u3001\u5de5\u8cc7\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u3002<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong><span style=\"font-size: 12pt;\">\u65b0\u7684\u7a05\u52d9\u5e74\u5ea6\u7684\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u552f\u4e00\u589e\u52a0\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6536\u5165\u4ee5\u53ca\u6539\u9032\u8ca1\u52d9\u8d64\u5b57\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u6bcb\u5eb8\u7f6e\u7591\u7684\uff0c\u4e00\u5b9a\u662f\u7e7c\u7e8c\u52a0\u5f37\u5f9e\u53bb\u5e74\u5c31\u958b\u59cb\u7684\u5f37\u529b\u5be9\u67e5\u7a05\u52d9\u7a3d\u67e5\u3002\u73fe\u5728\u570b\u7a05\u5c40\u8207\u9280\u884c\u3001\u79fb\u6c11\u5c40\u3001\u52de\u5de5\u90e8\u4ee5\u53ca\u5de5\u8cbf\u90e8\u90fd\u6709\u96fb\u8166\u9023\u7dda\uff0c\u7a3d\u67e5\u8b49\u64da\u8490\u96c6\u7684\u7ba1\u9053\u4ee5\u53ca\u5de5\u5177\u662f\u975e\u5e38\u5b8c\u5584\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: 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